%0 Journal Article
%T 迈向均衡发展的新型城镇化——一个“人口－土地－财政”要素耦合协调模型的分析<br>New Urbanization towards Balanced Development——An Analysis of Coupling Coordination Model of “Population-Land-Finance”
%A 袁方成　陈泽华
%J 华中师范大学报（人文社会科学版）
%D 2018
%X 摘要 当前我国正处于城镇化发展的关键阶段，其发展是要素流动和集聚的结果，其中人口要素为核心、土地要素为载体、财政要素为保障，关键是三大要素的耦合协调。本文利用2006－2016年全国及省际面板数据，从人口、土地和财政三要素入手，构建新型城镇化协调发展模型，实证检验全国及三大区域城镇化要素之间的耦合协调程度。结果显示：东、中、西部“人、地、财”要素的耦合协调程度均出现积极的改进，区域之间存在较明显差异。全国整体及地区内部的城镇化协调水平差距逐步缩小。人口要素将逐步取代土地要素成为新型城镇化的主导因素，财政要素在过渡期间发挥支持性作用，迈向均衡协调发展的新型城镇化。为此，应以财政要素为转型突破口，抑制土地要素的快速膨胀，推进“人－地－财”制度联动改革和政策协同，作为优化调控新型城镇化的发展思路。<br>Abstract：Currently， Chinese urbanization is in a key stage of rapid development. It is a result of various factors’ mobilization and assemblage， including population as the core factor， land as carrier factor and finance as the guarantee factor. Based on 2006－2016 years’ national and provincial panel data， this paper constructs three models of urbanization from the three elements of population， land and finance， and empirically tests the coupling and coordination degree of urbanization elements in the whole country and the three regions. The results show that there are positive improvements in the degree of coupling and coordination of “Population-Land-Finance” in the East，Middle and West， and there are obvious differences between regions. The coordinated level of urbanization in the whole country and inside a region has gradually narrowed. The factor of population will gradually replace the land elements to become the leading factor of the new urbanization， and the financial elements play a supportive role during the transition period. Therefore， we should take fiscal factors as a breakthrough for transformation， curb the rapid expansion of the land elements， improve the quality and level of human urbanization， and promote the linkage reform and policy coordination of “Population-Land-Finance” system as a new development idea for optimizing the regulation of new urbanization.
%U http://journal.ccnu.edu.cn/sk/CN/abstract/abstract5665.shtml