%0 Journal Article
%T 中国淘汰短链氯化石蜡的社会经济影响评价<br>Socio-economic Impact Assessment of Phasing out SCCPs in China
%A 余梦琪
%A 王梓元
%A 王滢
%A 徐淳
%A 张剑波
%J 北京大学学报（自然科学版）
%D 2017
%R 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2017.063
%X 摘要 利用成本效益分析法, 设置5年和10年淘汰情景, 对中国淘汰短链氯化石蜡 (SCCPs) 的成本和效益进行分析。淘汰SCCPs的成本为181.1~308.8亿元, 主要来自下游行业替代损失, 5年淘汰情景的成本低于10年淘汰情景; 中国淘汰SCCPs的收益为1462.6亿元, 建议采用5年淘汰情景淘汰SCCPs。<br>Abstract The costs and benefits of phasing out short chain chlorinated paraffins (SCCPs) in China were analyzed under the 5-year and 10-year control scenarios by cost benefit analysis. The cost of phasing out SCCPs was 18.11 to 30.88 billion yuan, mainly from the substitution in downstream industries. The cost under the 5-year control scenario was less than the 10-year scenario. The benefit of phasing out SCCPs in China was 146.26 billion yuan. The 5-year control scenario was suggested for phasing out SCCPs.
%K 短链氯化石蜡
%K 社会经济影响评价
%K 成本效益分析&lt
%K br&gt
%K SCCPs
%K socio-economic impact assessment
%K cost benefit analysis
%U http://xbna.pku.edu.cn/CN/abstract/abstract3107.shtml