%0 Journal Article
%T 西部欠发达地区“产城融合”效应实证研究<br>An empirical study on the effect of the integration between urbanization and industrialization in western underdeveloped region
%A 邹小勤
%A 曹国华
%A 许劲
%J 重庆大学学报社会科学版
%D 2015
%R 10.11835/j.issn.1008-5831.2015.04.002
%X “产城融合”发展的新型城镇化是未来中国经济增长和转型的重要引擎，而如何推动西部欠发达地区“产城融合”发展是一个值得专门研究的课题。文章以重庆三峡库区2003-2012年的数据为样本，基于面板向量自回归模型进行了实证研究。结果发现：农业发展对城镇化有微弱的负向效应，即“逆向城镇化”，但城镇化对农业产业发展有显著的正向效应；工业与城镇化具有良性互动效应机制，融合发展效应显著；服务业与城镇化没有显著的融合发展效应。本研究的政策启示在于：鼓励和支持现代农业、工业和城镇化协同发展可能是目前西部欠发达地区的优化选择。<br>The New-urbanization, which means the integration between urbanization and industrialization， is the important engine of the China’s economy further development and transition. At the same time, it is worth of special study to the question of how to drive the integration between urbanization and industrialization in Western underdeveloped region. In the paper, PVAR model is constructed for an empirical study on the effect of the integration between urbanization and industrialization in Western underdeveloped region based on the panel data of Three Gorges Area of Chongqing during the period of 2003 to 2012. We find that, 1) the agriculture development has a weak and negative effect on the urbanization, which means so-called “adverse urbanization”, while the urbanization has prominent and positive effect; 2) there is an interactive and effective mechanism between manufacture and urbanization, and the effect of the integration is very prominent; 3) there is no prominent effect of the integration between urbanization and service. Policy implications of the study lies: perhaps it is an optimal choice to encourage the coordinate development among modern agriculture, manufacture and urbanization.
%K 城镇化
%K 产城融合
%K 诺瑟姆曲线
%K 面板向量自回归模型&lt
%K br&gt
%K urbanization
%K integration between urbanization and industrialization
%K Northam curve
%K PVAR model
%U http://qks.cqu.edu.cn/cqdxskcn/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=201504003&flag=1