%0 Journal Article
%T 十堰市农村房屋震害预测研究<br>Seismic Damage Prediction of Rural Houses in Shiyan City
%A 何申海
%A 王秋良
%A 龚平
%A 郑水明
%J 地震工程学报
%D 2017
%R 10.3969/j.issn.1000-0844.2017.Supp.0195
%X 通过资料收集和现场调查，得到十堰市农村房屋建筑基本资料的统计数据。在此基础上，运用建筑物地震易损性概率分析法，对十堰市的农村房屋建筑进行震害预测。结果表明，十堰市现有的三种房屋结构抗震能力较差，尤其是土木结构，当遭遇烈度为Ⅵ度的地震作用时，会发生大面积的轻微破坏，土木和砖木结构聚集的局部地区甚至会发生相当规模的中等破坏。当遭遇烈度为Ⅶ度的地震作用时，会发生相当规模中等程度的破坏，局部地区会发生中等程度以上的破坏，并造成很大的经济损失和人员伤亡，尤其是郧西、竹山、竹溪和房县等地区。最后，在十堰市潜在震害规模和分布预测结果的基础上，提出了一些具体的民居防震减灾政府规划管理建议和技术措施。<br>Based on statistical data on rural houses in Shiyan City, we estimated their potential earthquake damage using probabilistic analysis of building earthquake disaster vulnerability. The results indicate that the seismic capacity of the existing three types of housing structure in the city is poor, particularly in the houses with a civil structure. If an earthquake of Ⅵ degree intensity does occur, a large area would be damaged and local areas with a concentration of civil-and brick-wood structural buildings would be damaged to a medium degree. If an earthquake of Ⅶ degree intensity occurred, it would cause damage to a medium degree; however, local areas such as Yunxi, Zhushan, Zhuxi, and Fangxian would experience damage above this level.
%K 十堰市
%K 农村房屋
%K 震害预测
%K 抗震减灾&lt
%K br&gt
%K Shiyan City
%K rural houses
%K seismic damage prediction
%K earthquake resistance and disaster reduction
%U http://dzgcxb.ijournals.cn/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=2017S134&flag=1