%0 Journal Article %T 基于情景演变和突变级数的海底隧道火灾应急资源评价<br>Emergency resource evaluation of subsea tunnel fire based on scenario evolvement and catastrophe progression %A 陈明仙 %A 沈斐敏 %J 福州大学学报(自然科学版) %D 2015 %R 10.7631/issn.1000-2243.2015.06.0869 %X 为了研究海底隧道火灾情景应急资源评价问题,以翔安海底隧道为例,基于隧道火灾情景演变机理与流程分析,建立火灾事故情景演变分析模型. 选择特征情景演变路径并抽取关键情景,构建关键情景应急资源评价指标体系,确立模型方法与步骤,建立基于突变级数的海底隧道火灾情景应急资源评价模型. 最后,以客车火灾事故为例,对模型进行验证应用,为海底隧道火灾应急资源评价提供一种新方法.<br>To study subsea tunnel scenario emergency resource evaluation,taking Xiang’an subsea tunnel for example,the fire scenario evolvement net model for subsea tunnel was built based on scenario evolvement mechanism and procedure analysis. The key scenario of evolvement was chosen. Meanwhile,evaluation index system was constructed. The model method and step was established. The evaluation model based on catastrophe progression was built. Finally,the model was used in bus fire to be a case study which provide a new method for subsea tunnel fire emergency resource evaluation %K 海底隧道 火灾 情景演变 突变级数 应急资源 评价模型< %K br> %K subsea tunnel fire scenario evolvement catastrophe progression emergency resource evaluation model %U http://xbzrb.fzu.edu.cn/ch/reader/view_abstract.aspx?file_no=20150625&flag=1