%0 Journal Article %T Sharp thresholds for the random-cluster and Ising models %A Benjamin Graham %A Geoffrey Grimmett %J Mathematics %D 2009 %I arXiv %R 10.1214/10-AAP693 %X A sharp-threshold theorem is proved for box-crossing probabilities on the square lattice. The models in question are the random-cluster model near the self-dual point $p_{\mathrm {sd}}(q)=\sqrt{q}/(1+\sqrt{q})$, the Ising model with external field, and the colored random-cluster model. The principal technique is an extension of the influence theorem for monotonic probability measures applied to increasing events with no assumption of symmetry. %U http://arxiv.org/abs/0903.1501v2