%0 Journal Article
%T Six Temperature Proxies of Scots Pine from the Interior of Northern Fennoscandia Combined in Three Frequency Ranges
%A Markus Lindholm
%A Maxim G. Ogurtsov
%A Risto Jalkanen
%A Bjˋrn E. Gunnarson
%A Tarmo Aalto
%J Journal of Climatology
%D 2014
%R 10.1155/2014/578761
%X Six chronologies based on the growth of Scots pine from the inland of northern Fennoscandia were built to separately enhance low, medium, and higher frequencies in growth variability in 1000每2002. Several periodicities of growth were found in common in these data. Five of the low-frequency series have a significant oscillatory mode at 200每250 years of cycle length. Most series also have strong multidecadal scale variability and significant peaks at 33, 67, or 83每125 years. Reconstruction models for mean July and June每August as well as three longer period temperatures were built and compared using stringent verification statistics. We describe main differences in model performance ( = 0.53每0.62) between individual proxies as well as their various averages depending on provenance and proxy type, length of target period, and frequency range. A separate medium-frequency chronology (a proxy for June每August temperatures) is presented, which is closely similar in amplitude and duration to the last two cycles of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO). The good synchrony between these two series is only hampered by a 10-year difference in timing. Recognizing a strong medium-frequency component in Fennoscandian climate proxies helps to explain part of the uncertainties in their 20th century trends. 1. Introduction Several recent studies have discussed the potential of high-resolution proxies based on the growth of Scots pine from northern Fennoscandia for reconstruction of summer temperatures in particular at the low-frequency scale of variability [1每5]. The main concern has generally been the interesting temperature difference between medieval times, Little Ice Age, and the modern period viewing recent and projected warming within the context of natural variability. Less attention is usually paid to the strong multidecadal component of temperature variability in the observational as well as proxy records, which may seriously hamper the identification of an amplified warming signal in the last century in the Arctic and surrounding regions [6]. Some internal climate controls may have influenced regional climate simultaneously with the carbon dioxide induced warming, and Fennoscandian temperature proxies may have recorded both types of potentially coinciding, interacting, or even diverging signals in the decadal-to-centennial scales of variability. Multidecadal variability in Fennoscandian summertime climate may well be related to the AMO (sea surface temperatures (SST)), which has a period of about 40每80 years, suggested to arise from predictable internal
%U http://www.hindawi.com/journals/jcli/2014/578761/