%0 Journal Article
%T Fertility in Islamic Republic of Iran: Levels, Trends and Differentials during Three Decades (1967-1996)
%A Farahani
%A Mahmood Mahmoodi
%A Rahgozar
%A Mehdi
%A Farahani
%A Farideh Khalaj Abadi
%A Mohammad
%A Kazem
%J Canadian Studies in Population
%D 2002
%I Canadian Population Society
%X English This study focuses on the fertility levels and trends of Iranian women aged10-49 years during three decades, 1967-1996. Information was collected by interviewing a systematiccluster sample of 13,253 households. The basic date of concern was the date of each live born childfor a sample of women in reproductive age and whether the live born was alive at the time of thestudy. The detailed nature of these data collected for each birth enabled fertility rates to becalculated for exact periods before the survey, for exact calendar years. Higher fertility rates werefound for the period 10-15 and 15-20 years preceding the survey. These high fertility levels areprobably due to some socio-economic changes in favor of higher level of fertility immediately afterthe 1979 revolution. However the results of the present survey show during 1967-1996, the TFR1 haddropped from 6.38 to 2.88 (an expected TFR based on fertility behavior during 1992-96). This declinewas probably due to delay in marriage and policy changes in favor of population control particularlysince 1987. Despite this potential fertility decline in recent years, Iran is expected to face a babyboom as the offspring who were born during the 1976-86 reach to the reproductive age in the comingdecades. French Cette ¨¦tude porte sur les niveaux et les tendances de fertilit¨¦ chez les Iraniennes ag¨¦es de 10 ¨¤ 49 ans sur une p¨¦riode de trente ans, soit de 1967-1996. L'information a ¨¦t¨¦ recueillie en interviewant un ¨¦chantillon en grappes syst¨¦matique de 13 253 m¨¦nages. La principale date qui nous int¨¦resse est la date de naissance de chaque enfant vivant pour un ¨¦chantillon de femmes en age de procr¨¦er et le fait que l'enfant soit toujours en vie au moment de l'¨¦tude. La nature d¨¦taill¨¦e des donn¨¦es recueillies pour chaque naissance a permis d'¨¦tablir les taux de fertilit¨¦ pour les p¨¦riodes pr¨¦cises avant le sondage pour les ann¨¦es civiles pr¨¦cises. Les taux de fertilit¨¦ ¨¦taient sup¨¦rieurs pour les p¨¦riodes de 10 ¨¤ 15 ans et de 15 ¨¤ 20 ans avant le sondage. Ces taux ¨¦lev¨¦s sont sans doute attribuables ¨¤ des changements socio-¨¦conomiques favorisant une plus grande fertilit¨¦ imm¨¦diatement apr¨¨s la r¨¦volution de 1979. Cependant, les r¨¦sultats de ce sondage indiquent qu'entre 1967 et 1996, l'ISF est pass¨¦ de 6,38 ¨¤ 2.88 (ISF avait ¨¦t¨¦ ¨¦tabli ¨¤ partir du comportement procr¨¦ateur des ann¨¦es 1992-96). Cette chute avait probablement ¨¦t¨¦ caus¨¦e par le fait que les femmes se mariaient plus tard et ¨¤ des changements dans la politique favorisant la r¨¦gulation des populations, surtout depuis 1987. Malgr¨¦ ce d¨¦clin ¨¦vent
%K fertility history
%K fertility trend
%K fertility level
%K Iran
%U http://www.canpopsoc.ca/CanPopSoc/assets/File/publications/journal/CSPv29n2p227.pdf