%0 Journal Article
%T Bullets and Votes: Violence and Electoral Participation in Mexico Balas y votos: Violencia y participaci¨®n electoral en M¨¦xico
%A Alejandro Trelles
%A Miguel Carreras
%J Journal of Politics in Latin America
%D 2012
%I German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)
%X In this paper we analyze the effect of criminal violence on electoral participation in Mexico. Many scholars have studied the origins of criminal violence, as well as the success or failure of contemporary regimes in dealing with it. However, few have studied how it affects voter turnout. Following recent findings in the behavioral subfield, we hypothesize that as criminal violence increases, citizens abandon public channels of participation and take refuge in their private spheres. Using longitudinal and geostatistical tools to analyze Mexican municipalities in the last decade, we find that the level of electoral turnout is lower in the most violent regions of the country. In the final section, we use survey data to confirm that citizens exposed to high levels of criminal violence are less likely to vote. En este art¨ªculo, analizamos el efecto de la violencia criminal sobre la participaci¨®n electoral en M¨¦xico. Muchos investigadores estudiaron las causas de la violencia criminal y la respuesta de los diferentes gobiernos frente a este problema. Sin embargo, pocos estudios analizan el impacto de la violencia criminal sobre la participaci¨®n en las elecciones. Siguiendo algunos hallazgos recientes en la literatura de comportamiento pol¨ªtico, argumentamos que cuando la violencia criminal aumenta, los ciudadanos abandonan espacios p¨²blicos de participaci¨®n y se refugian en la esfera privada. Usando m¨¦todos geoestad¨ªsticos para analizar las municipalidades en M¨¦xico en la ultima d¨¦cada, demostramos que la participaci¨®n electoral es m¨¢s baja en las regiones m¨¢s violentas del pa¨ªs. En la ¨²ltima secci¨®n, usamos datos de una encuesta reciente para confirmar que ciudadanos expuestos a niveles altos de criminalidad tienen menos probabilidades de votar.
%K Political Science
%K Mexico
%K criminal violence
%K electoral participation
%K 300
%K 320
%K 321
%K Mexico
%K 2000-2012
%K Ciencia Pol¨ªtica
%K M¨¦xico
%K violencia criminal
%K participaci¨®n electoral
%K M¨¦xico
%K 2000-2012
%U http://hup.sub.uni-hamburg.de/giga/jpla/article/view/541