%0 Journal Article
%T Determination of Ideal Pension Age and Developments in Ageing: A Case Study for Turkey
%A £¿lker £¿irin
%A Fanny Janssen
%J Sosyal G¨¹venlik Dergisi
%D 2013
%I Social Security Institution, Turkey
%X Population ageing has important implications for the sustainability of social security schemes. Debate is on whether and how to include demographic trends in the determination of the ideal pension age. We determine the ideal pension age for Turkey, based on the developments taking place in both population structure and mortality, by examining conventional and prospective measures of population ageing, and by comparing different decision criteria. Proposed pension ages based on constant remaining life expectancy and intergenerational fairness are higher than those using constant support ratios, show fluctuations over time and are higher for the female than male population. The suggested pension ages differed strongly from the official ones, although less in 2010. The different measures, old-age definitions, and decision criteria result in different alternatives for the ideal pension age with differing popularity for different stakeholders. The observed sex differences and the on-going population and mortality trends demand flexibility. N¨¹fusun ya lanmas , sosyal g¨¹venlik planlar n n s¨¹rd¨¹r¨¹lebilirli i a  s ndan  nemli etkiye sahiptir. Tart  ma, demografik e ilimlerin ideal emeklilik ya  n n belirlenmesine yans t l p yans t lmamas  veya nas l yans t laca   ¨¹zerinedir.  al  mada, n¨¹fus yap s  ve  l¨¹ml¨¹l¨¹kte meydana gelen geli meler temel al narak, n¨¹fusun ya lanmas   l ¨¹lerinden geleneksel ve ileriye d n¨¹k olanlar kullan larak ve farkl  karar kriterleri kar  la t r larak emeklilik ya   belirlenmektedir. Sabit beklenen  mr¨¹ ve nesiller aras  adaleti temel alan kritere g re emeklilik ya  , sabit destek oran na nazaran daha y¨¹ksektir, zaman i inde dalgalanma g sterir ve kad nlarda erkeklere g re daha y¨¹ksektir.  nerilen ya lar, 2010 y l  i in daha az farkl  olmakla birlikte genelde resmi emeklilik ya  ndan olduk a farkl d r. Ya lanmay  farkl   l me y ntemleri, ya l l k tan mlar  ve farkl  karar kriterleri her bir payda  n ra bet edece i de i en ideal emeklilik ya  n  beraberinde getirmektedir. Ya taki cinsiyetler aras  farklar ile hali haz rdaki n¨¹fus ve  l¨¹ml¨¹l¨¹k e ilimleri ise daha esnek olarak de erlendirilmelidir.
%K Population ageing
%K pension age
%K prospective age
%K old age dependency ratio
%K old age definition
%K Turkey
%K N¨¹fusun ya lanmas
%K emeklilik ya
%K ileriye d n¨¹k ya
%K ya l  ba  ml l k oran
%K ya l l k tan m
%K T¨¹rkiye
%U http://www.sgk.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/d89a0ade-43b4-4e0e-8bf3-1c1dce0d104a/4.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=d89a0ade-43b4-4e0e-8bf3-1c1dce0d104a&CSRT=7420694814397984403