%0 Journal Article
%T Toward Characteristics of Development of Wind Power and Carbon Capture Technology in China Based on Technological Learning Curves
中国风电和碳捕集技术发展路径与减排成本研究——基于技术学习曲线的分析
%A HUANG Jian
%A
黄建
%J 资源科学
%D 2012
%I
%X Coal has been the major energy source in China.The proportion of coal utilization for power generation will even become higher.The key of China’s low-carbon development lies in the choice of low-carbon power technology and its popularization.Compared with hydropower and nuclear power,development of wind power and carbon capture technology is still at preliminary stages.The overall objective of this study was to discuss characteristics of main problems in wind power and carbon capture technology,including the time of deployment,potential of CO2 emission reductions,as well as costs of CO2 emission reductions based on their learning curves.This would be greatly helpful in providing a scientific basis of decision-makers.First,differences in deployment of low-carbon energy technologies of China and the world were compared and contrast.Due to the rapid development of economy and rapid growth of energy demand,the China’s energy deployment rate is much higher than the world average.Based on it,China’s deployment rate was combined with the technological learning curve to analyze the deployment path of wind power and carbon capture technologies.Conclusions were drawn as follows.1)The CO2 mitigation cost of wind power is marginally higher than the carbon capture technology,but when carbon transport cost and carbon storage cost are accounted for,the total cost of carbon capture technology is higher than the wind power;2)The total added investment of wind power is slightly higher than that of the newly built pulverized coal power plant with carbon capture.The investment(including the construction investment)of wind power is 71.9%of the total added investment,which means that improvement in the learning rate will largely reduce the total added investment.The total added investments for carbon capture technology are lower,almost all of which are from the fuel cost and total added investments of the capital of the pulverized coal plant with carbon capture;3)The development of wind power will be constrained by infrastructures,such as power grid after the year 2025.More wind power would make the power grid unstable;4)In order to reduce the same amount of CO2 emissions,the time of deployment of the carbon capture technology is earlier than wind power technology based on the same deployment path;5)Currently we should speed up the development of pilot carbon capture projects and strengthen international exchanges and cooperation to make the connection of wind power and carbon capture smooth.
%K Technological learning curves
%K Wind power
%K Carbon capture
%K Deployment time
%K CO2 mitigation cost
技术学习曲线
%K 风电
%K 碳捕集
%K 推广时间
%K CO2减排成本
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=B5EDD921F3D863E289B22F36E70174A7007B5F5E43D63598017D41BB67247657&cid=B47B31F6349F979B&jid=9DEEAF23637E6E9539AD99BE6ABAB2B3&aid=E0B7EF588532D46B1E66AD4FAFBCE3E4&yid=99E9153A83D4CB11&vid=339D79302DF62549&iid=CA4FD0336C81A37A&sid=A04140E723CB732E&eid=D3E34374A0D77D7F&journal_id=1007-7588&journal_name=资源科学&referenced_num=0&reference_num=25