%0 Journal Article
%T Evaluation of Low-Carbon Economic Development Across Thermal Power Enterprises in China<br>中国火电企业低碳经济发展评价研究
%A MI Guofang
%A <br>米国芳
%J 资源科学
%D 2012
%I 
%X An evaluation index system to predict and evaluate the level of low-carbon economic development is important to strategic and low-carbon economic development and the innovation and development of low-carbon economic theory. Here we analyze current thermal power enterprises and power development policies in China. An evaluation index system was established for a low-carbon economy, low-carbon production, low-carbon society, low-carbon environment and low-carbon resource. Three scenarios were established including a base scenario, frustrated scenario and low-carbon scenario. Based on improved analytic hierarchy processing and multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation methods, low-carbon economy development of the Tuoketuo thermal power enterprise was evaluated and predicted under each scenario. The results show that under the low-carbon scenario, the level of low-carbon economic development is higher than for other scenarios in 2015. In 2020 and 2025, low-carbon economic development is highest under the low-carbon scenario and lowest under the base scenario. The development value of the low-carbon economy grows for the Tuoketuo power enterprise from 2015-2025. The value of the low-carbon base scenario in 2020 and 2025 is higher than for the frustration scenario in 2015. The value of the low-carbon frustration scenario in 2025 is higher than the low-carbon scenario in 2015. In order to realize low-carbon economic development, thermal power enterprises need to promote implementation of the low-carbon economy to reduce high-carbon energy consumption and carbon emissions by adopting technological innovation, system innovation and industrial transformation. Such measures can further improve overall levels of low-carbon economic development and realize harmonious development between the economy, society, resources and environment.
%K Low-carbon economy
%K Scenario analysis
%K Improved analytic hierarchy process
%K Multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation<br>低碳经济
%K 情景分析
%K IAHP
%K 多级模糊综合评价
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=B5EDD921F3D863E289B22F36E70174A7007B5F5E43D63598017D41BB67247657&cid=B47B31F6349F979B&jid=9DEEAF23637E6E9539AD99BE6ABAB2B3&aid=DC0994A58AFB6AE99FC9E3E64B4E8ED4&yid=99E9153A83D4CB11&vid=339D79302DF62549&iid=59906B3B2830C2C5&sid=764CFDBFE956EAB0&eid=40759A4656FCEE7A&journal_id=1007-7588&journal_name=资源科学&referenced_num=0&reference_num=12