%0 Journal Article
%T A Comparative Analysis of the Effect of Regional Coal Consumption in China: An Empirical Study Based on the Panel Data Model<br>中国区域煤炭消费影响效应的比较分析——基于面板数据模型的实证经验
%A LIU Manzhi
%A WANG Rui
%A ZHOU MeiHua
%A ZHANG Jing
%A <br>刘满芝
%A 王锐
%A 周梅华
%A 张静
%J 资源科学
%D 2011
%I 
%X Coal plays a leading role in the structure of energy supply and demand in China. Therefore, unraveling the relationship between economy and energy supply and demand would be beneficial in understanding the relationship between economy and coal so as to guarantee energy security and realize stable development of economy. Based on analysis of the relationship between economic growth, industry structure, energy consumption structure, energy utilization efficiency, and coal consumption, a panel data model was constructed to perform an empirical analysis of the relationship among them. The comparative analysis on the effect of coal consumption among eastern, central and western regions were conducted. The empirical results show that there was a long-term co-integration relationship among economic growth, industry structure, energy consumption structure, energy utilization efficiency, and coal consumption. There was a certain difference among regions. The influence of economic growth on coal consumption in the central region was higher than that in other areas. For eastern, central, and western regions, when GRP changed 1%, coal consumption would change 1.003%, 1.006%, 1.014% and 0.975%, respectively. The respective influence of industrial structure, energy consumption structure, and unit GRP energy consumption level on coal consumption in the eastern region was greater than that in other areas. Fluctuations of coal consumption in the central region were affected the least by the fluctuation of the industrial structure. In terms of short-term fluctuations, fluctuations of the coal consumption were caused mainly by economic growth, energy consumption structure, and the short-term fluctuation of unit GRP energy consumption level. The effect of fluctuation of each factor on coal consumption in the eastern region was greater than that in other regions, but the effect of industrial structure fluctuation on coal consumption in the western region was greater than that in the eastern region. In terms of adjustments to deviating away from the long-term equilibrium, the central region was greater than the eastern and western regions. Therefore, countries and regions in formulating economic policies and coal policies, must face up to the differences, and grasp the relationship among coal demand and economic growth, industrial structure, energy consumption structure, and energy utilization efficiency to promote better development of energy and economy. For example, the eastern region should firstly pay attention to adjusting the energy consumption structure and improving consumption ratio of non-fossil energy. Attention should then be paid to reducing unit the GRP energy consumption level, keeping a steady development of economy, adjusting the industrial structure, and reducing the proportion of the second industry.
%K Coal consumption
%K Effect
%K Comparative analysis
%K Panel data<br>煤炭消费
%K 影响效应
%K 比较分析
%K 面板数据
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=B5EDD921F3D863E289B22F36E70174A7007B5F5E43D63598017D41BB67247657&cid=B47B31F6349F979B&jid=9DEEAF23637E6E9539AD99BE6ABAB2B3&aid=3D120F67FFBE1E37CFEE3CDEA1D0C8DA&yid=9377ED8094509821&vid=27746BCEEE58E9DC&iid=9CF7A0430CBB2DFD&sid=EDB2C8F3B92E3D13&eid=4BFBB19F1A63A4F0&journal_id=1007-7588&journal_name=资源科学&referenced_num=0&reference_num=24