%0 Journal Article
%T Spatial Structure of Water and Land Resources Carrying Capacity in Shandong Province<br>山东省水土资源承载力空间结构研究
%A ZHANG Xiao-qing
%A LI Yu-jiang
%A <br>张晓青
%A 李玉江
%J 资源科学
%D 2006
%I 
%X Natural resources including water and land have greatly limited the economic and social development in Shandong province in recent years.It is important to probe the spatial structure of carrying capacity of water and land resources,which can be applied to macro-level decision making on how to exploit the resources reasonably.This paper aims at analyzing of spatial structure of resources carrying capacity in Shandong province.Firstly,the water carrying capacity of 17 municipalities are evaluated and forecasted through using general-fuzzy appraisal approach and multi-objective planning model.The result indicates that water carrying capacity in 2010 and 2020 extends from southwest to northeast and East Shandong hill region and Southwest Shandong plain will be in surplus of water resources,and Middle Shandong hill region and North Shandong plain are in deficiency of water resources in the future.Secondly,land carrying capacity of 17 municipalities on the basis of crop potential and planting areas are estimated.The result reveals that four out of 17 municipalities would be in surplus and another four municipalities without pressure and nine municipalities under higher pressure in 2010 and 2020.Lastly,the spatial characteristics of water and land carrying capacity are summarized.The water and land carrying capacity are not well matched and have notable spatial diversity in near future.According to the degree of water abundance favorable to industry development and land abundance degree favoring population settlement,five types of region with different carry capacity of resources are classified into.It is proposed that the region without water pressure should be the focus area of population settlement and industry development.The region with water surplus and higher land pressure should accelerate industry development and limit population growth.The region with higher water pressure and without land pressure should accelerate urbanization process and develop economized water industry.The region without water pressure and with higher land pressure should develop industry moderately and control population growth rigorously.The region with both higher water and land pressure should develop water-saving industry and control population growth rigorously.
%K Water carrying capacity
%K Land carrying capacity
%K Spatial structure
%K Shandong Province<br>水资源承载力
%K 耕地资源承载力
%K 空间结构
%K 山东省
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=B5EDD921F3D863E289B22F36E70174A7007B5F5E43D63598017D41BB67247657&cid=B47B31F6349F979B&jid=9DEEAF23637E6E9539AD99BE6ABAB2B3&aid=75B0F9F74C96B05A&yid=37904DC365DD7266&vid=D3E34374A0D77D7F&iid=0B39A22176CE99FB&sid=FC0714F8D2EB605D&eid=659D3B06EBF534A7&journal_id=1007-7588&journal_name=资源科学&referenced_num=6&reference_num=21