%0 Journal Article
%T Regional Comparison Study of Co-integration Relationship between Coal Consumption and Economic Growth in China
基于协整关系的中国区域煤炭消费与经济增长比较研究
%A ZHANG Zhaoxiang
%A LIAO Xianling
%A WANG Xiaosong
%A SONG Xiaoqian
%A
张兆响
%A 廖先玲
%A 王晓松
%A 宋晓倩
%J 资源科学
%D 2009
%I
%X Large population, vast land area, cultural and conceptual differences across regions and the imbalance in regional economic development has inevitably resulted in different relations between coal consumption and economic growth in different regions. In this paper, measurement analysis and co-integration theory of time-series cross-section data model are used to empirically study the co-integration relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in eastern, middle and western regions of China. The empirical results show that there is a stable long-term equilibrium relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in the eastern region, but this is a unidirectional relationship from economic growth to coal consumption. In middle region of China, both an obvious bidirectional long-term causal relationship and a bidirectional short-term causal relationship can be observed. However, there is a long-term co-integration relation in western region and the short-term causality is not tenable. Based on these characteristcs, the data of economic growth, energy and coal consumption level from 1986 to 2004 in the country are analyzed. The results indicate that the relationship between coal consumption and economic growth is significantly different among various regions, and the main impacts are the level of economic development and economic operation mechanism. Certain policies have been put forward to promote the coordinated development of coal (energy) and economy in various regions of China. The author points out that the obvious distinctions of co-integration relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in eastern, middle and western region of China are very important. Therefore, these differences must be considered in the process of formulating and implementing national economic policies and coal-related policies. At present, China is putting in much greater effort to develop the western region than ever before, and the most urgent task is to coordinate the relationship between coal (energy) consumption and economic development. Otherwise, the regional imbalance in economic development in China will aggravate. In that sense, promoting regional development of coal is crucial for achieving coordinated development of regional economies in China. It is of significance to build a healthy interaction mechanism between economy and energy. It is worth noting that there is not obvious short-term causal relationship between coal consumption and economic growth in western region of China. In other words, there are no correction mechanisms. For this reason, system performance of regional economy and the coal (energy) in west China is a long-term process, but not obvious in short term at all.
%K Coal consumption
%K Economic growth
%K Co-integration relationship
%K Regional comparison
%K Time-series cross-section data
煤炭消费
%K 经济增长
%K 协整关系
%K 区域比较
%K 时间序列截面数据
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=B5EDD921F3D863E289B22F36E70174A7007B5F5E43D63598017D41BB67247657&cid=B47B31F6349F979B&jid=9DEEAF23637E6E9539AD99BE6ABAB2B3&aid=91F2BFA6FF042DCA0003EEC7D00D51B7&yid=DE12191FBD62783C&vid=4AD960B5AD2D111A&iid=B31275AF3241DB2D&sid=5A9F0976AE79CB6F&eid=DE3C727FE2D9509D&journal_id=1007-7588&journal_name=资源科学&referenced_num=1&reference_num=15