%0 Journal Article %T The Dynamic Features of the Interaction between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in China
中国三次产业经济增长与能源消费相互作用的动态特征 %A WEI Ziqing %A ZHOU Dequn %A WANG Qunwei %A YUE Jiangjun %A
魏子清 %A 周德群 %A 王群伟 %A 岳江君 %J 资源科学 %D 2009 %I %X The purpose of this paper is to explore the dynamic relationship and interaction between economic growth and energy consumption in the three industries, so as to seek for approaches to harmonize the contradictions between economic growth and energy consumption in China accordingly. By using the Vector Auto-regression Model, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition Method, the dynamic interaction between economic growth and energy consumption in the three industries is systematically analyzed during the period of 1980-2006 in China. Furthermore, the contribution rates as well as the significance of economic growth and energy consumption in the three industries are investigated respectively. The results show that there is no long-term equilibrium between economic growth and energy consumption in the three industries in China. The accumulation effect of energy consumption in the primary industry and tertiary industry to the economic development is negative, which can hinder the fast development of economy. And there is no obvious positive effect in economic growth to energy consumption in both industries. In addition, economic growth in the second industry has positive influence on energy consumption. However, the positive relations between economic growth and energy consumption of the second industry are not a long-term equilibrium. In the short term, the contribution rate of economic growth in the tertiary industry to the self impact maintains above 94%, while the contribution rate of energy consumption to economic growth is not high. In other words, energy consumption can not effectively promote economic growth. Finally, based on the above research on dynamic features of economic growth and energy consumption in the three major industries of China, corresponding policies are recommended. At present stage, the optimization of industrial structure and energy consumption structure as well as the enhancement of energy utilization efficiency should be emphasized. Meanwhile, it is crucial to establish and perfect security system for energy demand, in order to meet domestic energy demand with appropriate prices and weaken the restriction of the negative impact of energy consumption to economic growth in China. The study provides a theoretical basis for the accurate understanding of the impact effect and transmission mechanism between economic growth and energy consumption in China. Reasonable planning of energy utilization and industrial structure adjustment and long-term energy policy as well as industrial policy are provided. %K Energy consumption %K Economic growth %K VAR Model %K Impulse response function %K Variance decomposition
能源消费 %K 经济增长 %K VAR模型 %K 脉冲响应函数 %K 方差分解 %U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=B5EDD921F3D863E289B22F36E70174A7007B5F5E43D63598017D41BB67247657&cid=B47B31F6349F979B&jid=9DEEAF23637E6E9539AD99BE6ABAB2B3&aid=49B34634174B0DEC2FD3B74C7FB015D7&yid=DE12191FBD62783C&vid=4AD960B5AD2D111A&iid=DF92D298D3FF1E6E&sid=C4B40BDE3E33484C&eid=E2F55FDAFC844F27&journal_id=1007-7588&journal_name=资源科学&referenced_num=0&reference_num=0