%0 Journal Article
%T A Preliminary Study on the Uncertainty of Short-Term Climate Prediction<br>试论短期气候预测的不确定性
%A Wang Huijun
%A <br>王会军
%J 气候与环境研究
%D 1997
%I 
%X Based on a set of systematic hindcast experiments by IAP and OSU AGCMs and theoratical analysis the uncertainty of short-term climate prediction were studied preliminarily. The paper stressed on the uncertainties induced by atmospheric internal dynamics. The conceptual model of short-term climate predictability were concluded and the preliminary dynamical mechanisms were analysed. Future suggestions of research were proposed in the last.
%K climate
%K prediction
%K uncertainty<br>气候
%K 预测
%K 不确定性
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=484C10BAB5333C14751916EACFF8295F&aid=0F984261B926F926ACBE9E889D951EA9&yid=5370399DC954B911&vid=0B39A22176CE99FB&iid=E158A972A605785F&sid=CF6CB42CFF3D4C4E&eid=302684F6FB4B24FF&journal_id=1006-9585&journal_name=气候与环境研究&referenced_num=18&reference_num=0