%0 Journal Article
%T Exploration and research for forecasting method of reconstructed first before modeling based on emergercy-alarm events<br>基于应急报警事件的先重构后建模预测法的探索研究
%A XUE Jing-sheng
%A LI Rui-qing
%A <br>薛京生
%A 李瑞卿
%J 计算机应用研究
%D 2012
%I 
%X This research proved that 110-alarm events have predictability; the applicability of forecast models that could be applied to government emergency management departments and applied for forecasting of public security organ in actual command and supports assistant-decision. This innovative method used high-order AR to synthesize time series of 110-alarm forecasting result to the original signal forecasting result and to be proved through experiments. This innovative modeling and forecasting process is called forecasting method of reconstructed first before modeling.
%K wavalet
%K auto-regressive
%K date-mining
%K time-series
%K emergencies-forecasting<br>小波
%K 自回归
%K 数据挖掘
%K 时间序列
%K 应急预测
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=5B3AB970F71A803DEACDC0559115BFCF0A068CD97DD29835&cid=8240383F08CE46C8B05036380D75B607&jid=A9D9BE08CDC44144BE8B5685705D3AED&aid=3178011684088478132F2E244E13276C&yid=99E9153A83D4CB11&vid=771469D9D58C34FF&iid=DF92D298D3FF1E6E&sid=50C3ACBE05C3B8CE&eid=991A1B87C8CBBB34&journal_id=1001-3695&journal_name=计算机应用研究&referenced_num=0&reference_num=10