%0 Journal Article
%T Pollution load forecasting model and its application in Bohai Bay<br>海岸带污染负荷预测模型及其在渤海湾的应用
%A WANG Hongli
%A JIANG Guoqiang
%A TAO Jianhua
%A <br>王红莉
%A 姜国强
%A 陶建华
%J 环境科学学报
%D 2005
%I 
%X Aimed at characters of pollutant from coastal zone and offshore area, a coastal zone pollution load forecasting model was developed by using statistical method, gray prediction method and so on. The main goal of developing the model was to supply the technical means and scientific references for controlling, reducing and redistributing total amount of pollution load. The model included the main waste water discharging departments and solved the uncertainty problem of environment system caused by data scarcity and relation ambiguity. The estimation results had been checked up by the pollution load statistic data of near ten years in Tianjin. It could be seen from the pollution load estimation results of nitrogen, phosphorus, oil and oxygen consumption organic, that industrial wastewater discharge volume per ten thousand production values decreased year after year, and oxygen consumption organic discharge volume increased slowly. In the total discharge amount of waste water, two thirds of oxygen consumption organic and over 75% of nitrogen came from domestic sewage. Domestic sewage discharge control should be emphasized consequently.
%K coastal zone
%K pollution load forecasting model
%K point source
%K non-point source<br>海岸带
%K 污染负荷预测
%K 点源污染
%K 渤海湾
%K 海洋污染
%K 污染物
%K 水质评价
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=3FF3ABA7486768130C3FF830376F43B398E0C97F0FF2DD53&cid=A7CA601309F5FED03C078BCE383971DC&jid=03A55E61A8750ACAC6AF81EF9E2AC838&aid=90B15B5A1EC07EED&yid=2DD7160C83D0ACED&vid=C5154311167311FE&iid=38B194292C032A66&sid=F416A9924F23B020&eid=7737D2F848706113&journal_id=0253-2468&journal_name=环境科学学报&referenced_num=5&reference_num=28