%0 Journal Article
%T Future scale and market capacity of urban water environmental infrastructure in China: a system dynamic model<br>我国城市水环境产业发展规模和市场容量的SD模型
%A Chu Junying
%A Chen Jining
%A Zou Ji
%A <br>Chu J
%A Chen J
%A Zou J
%J 环境科学
%D 2002
%I 
%X With the application of system dynamics,a dynamic, nonlinear model (SDMUWEIC) was developed in this paper in order to reflect the relationships of population, economic, resources and environment. Through a systematic procedure of model validation and uncertainty analysis, the model was applied for predicting and analyzing the future market capacity and constituents of urban water infrastructure. It illustrated the volumes and trends of potential capital market in construction, general mechanical equipments and water treatment instruments as well as their relevant influencing factors including water pricing and urbanization rate. Several different scenarios were further under test to reveal the sensitivity of different uncertain components.
%K urban water environmental infrastructure
%K system dynamic
%K future market capacity
%K market structure<br>水环境产业
%K SD模型
%K 发展规模
%K 市场容量
%K 市场结构
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=3FF3ABA7486768130C3FF830376F43B398E0C97F0FF2DD53&cid=A7CA601309F5FED03C078BCE383971DC&jid=64CD0AA99DD39F69401C615B85F123EF&aid=0F046BA377E69BA6&yid=C3ACC247184A22C1&vid=EA389574707BDED3&iid=E158A972A605785F&sid=CA4FD0336C81A37A&eid=DF92D298D3FF1E6E&journal_id=0250-3301&journal_name=环境科学&referenced_num=7&reference_num=11