%0 Journal Article
%T Recent Researches on the Short-Term Climate Prediction at IAP-A Brief Review
%A Wang Huijun
%A Zhou Guangqing
%A Lin Zhaohui
%A Zhao Yan
%A Guo Yufu
%A Ma Zhuguo
%A
Wang Huijun
%A Zhou Guangqing
%A Lin Zhaohui
%A Zhao Yan
%A Guo Yufu
%A Ma Zhuguo
%J 大气科学进展
%D 2001
%I
%X Studies on the seasonal to extraseasonal climate prediction at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) in recent years were reviewed. The first short-term climate prediction experiment was carried out based on the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) coupled to a tropical Pacific oceanic general circulation model (OGCM) In 1997, an ENSO prediction system including an oceanic initialization scheme was set up. At the same time, researches on the SST-induced climate predictability over East Asia were made. Based on the blennial signal in the interannual climate variability, an effective method was proposed for correcting the model predicted results recently In order to consider the impacts of the initial soil mois- ture anomalies, an empirical scheme was designed to compute the soil moisture by use of the atmospheric quantities like temperature, precipitation, and so on. Sets of prediction experiments were carried out to study the impacts of SST and the initial atmospheric conditinns on the flood occurring over China in 1998.
%K Climate prediction
%K Climate model
%K Initialization
气候预测
%K 气候模式
%K 初始化
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=5434AFBF6CB6E7E8D67733B541F211C7&aid=29B8514F8F3B4B70B31326E7CBC1D006&yid=14E7EF987E4155E6&vid=13553B2D12F347E8&iid=94C357A881DFC066&sid=0FBB0D015A3E9A88&eid=66973F362693F62B&journal_id=0256-1530&journal_name=大气科学进展&referenced_num=0&reference_num=0