%0 Journal Article
%T The Synthetic Decision Method for Climate Forecasts--The Synthetic Decision Method of Recurrent Positive Weights<br>一种气候预测综合决策的方法——递归正权综合决策法
%A Xiang Jingtian
%A Chen Guozhen
%A Liu Haibo
%A Zhao Zhenguo
%A <br>项静恬
%A 陈国珍
%A 刘海波
%A 赵振国
%J 大气科学
%D 1999
%I 
%X The synthetic decision plan of manifold climate forecasts is presented. The risk function of decision making is the sum of error squares, and its model is the synthesis of positive weights. This plan not only discusses the advantages of some positive weight methods in theory, but also provides the recurrent skill and enhances the forecasting precision of the synthesis of positive weights. This method has been proved to have quite good synthetic decision abilities through the synthetic decision making in the forecasts of the precipitation in the 1997's flood season.
%K climate forecast
%K statistical decision making
%K synthesis of recurrent positive weights<br>气候预测
%K 统计决策
%K 递归正权综合
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=46874A5A102033D774D00D819E91CD68&aid=DD99B846F452C177&yid=B914830F5B1D1078&vid=EA389574707BDED3&iid=94C357A881DFC066&sid=CEFF71AEB051114C&eid=C7A2B92569DF5458&journal_id=1006-9895&journal_name=大气科学&referenced_num=2&reference_num=4