%0 Journal Article
%T The Primary Study on a Method of Nonlinear Dynamic System Prediction<br>非线性动态系统预报的一种方法初探
%A Zhang Wangcheng
%A Wang Yu
%A Cao Jie
%A <br>张万诚
%A 王宇
%A 曹杰
%J 大气科学
%D 1997
%I 
%X In this paper, a method of nonlinear dynamic system prediction is given. The catastrophe of predictor and the unbalance of time dependent parameters are considered in thes method. The results of the numerical experiments have shown that the prediction accuracy of using this nonlinear dynamic prediction system is more effective them that of using the gereral recursive estimating method.
%K nonlinear
%K multilevel recursion method
%K catastrophe
%K time changing<br>非线性
%K 多层递阶
%K 突变
%K 时变
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=46874A5A102033D774D00D819E91CD68&aid=24134AA75A2141DA&yid=5370399DC954B911&vid=659D3B06EBF534A7&iid=CA4FD0336C81A37A&sid=7F5DDA4924737DF5&eid=B62E0EEFE746E568&journal_id=1006-9895&journal_name=大气科学&referenced_num=1&reference_num=8