%0 Journal Article
%T An Effective Approach for Improving the Real-Time Prediction of Summer Rainfall over China<br>An effective approach for improving the real-time prediction of summer rainfall over China
%A LANG Xian-Mei
%A <br>LANG
%A Xian-Mei
%J 大气和海洋科学快报
%D 2011
%I 
%X This paper has two purposes. One is to evaluate the ability of an atmospheric general circulation model (IAP9L-AGCM) to predict summer rainfall over China one season in advance. The other is to propose a new approach to improve the predictions made by the model. First, a set of hindcast experiments for summer climate over China during 1982–2010 are performed from the perspective of real-time prediction with the IAP9L-AGCM model and the IAP ENSO prediction system. Then a new approach that effectively combines the hindcast with its correction is proposed to further improve the model’s predictive ability. A systematic evaluation reveals that the model’s real-time predictions for 41 stations across China show significant improvement using this new approach, especially in the lower reaches between the Yellow River and Yangtze River valleys.
%K Prediction skill
%K IAP9L-AGCM
%K summer rainfall over China<br>
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=E62459D214FD64A3C8082E4ED1ABABED5711027BBBDDD35B&cid=28A2F569B2458C17&jid=DFA1C03CBD38122A6831EBC757FD100F&aid=3F5B7F10158E466D4686BC39195DCBBE&yid=9377ED8094509821&vid=E158A972A605785F&iid=0B39A22176CE99FB&sid=80A07035DF96B0C4&eid=E203FB1A272C9DD2&journal_id=1674-2834&journal_name=大气和海洋科学快报&referenced_num=0&reference_num=0