%0 Journal Article
%T Study on prediction models of beginning period of Empoasca vitis activity peak<br>假眼小绿叶蝉种群活动高峰始盛期预测模型的研究
%A LIN Wen-Hao
%A CHEN Chao-Ying
%A LIN Nai-Quan
%A <br>林文浩
%A 陈超英
%A 林乃铨
%J 中国生态农业学报
%D 2003
%I 
%X Based on establishing the combinative prediction models AR ( p) of the linear regression and lime scries,a method for prediction of beginning period of activity peak of Empoasca vitis next year,by using observed values of climat-ic factions in last year,was proposed.Therefore one can advance the announcement date of pest disaster explosion.The prediction practices in Fu'an tea field,Fujian Province,indicate that this combinative prediction method is a feasible mean.
%K Time series
%K Linear regression
%K Prediction
%K Empoasca vitis<br>时间序列
%K 线性回归
%K 预测
%K 假眼小绿叶蝉
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=03F54A49DE00578AA0E5DDF5BC021AA7&cid=1A8B5357F0EF07B8&jid=AB3ABF502E2E1FF39F0E3B80164C9031&aid=7C30B45A1FD583E4&yid=D43C4A19B2EE3C0A&vid=708DD6B15D2464E8&iid=CA4FD0336C81A37A&sid=B31275AF3241DB2D&eid=9CF7A0430CBB2DFD&journal_id=1671-3990&journal_name=中国生态农业学报&referenced_num=3&reference_num=4