%0 Journal Article
%T Study of the Mathematical Models of Development Trend of  the Digital Library Researches in China<br>中国数字图书馆研究发展趋势的数学模型研究
%A Zhou Yuhong
%A Fang Xiaorong
%A <br>周育红
%A 方小容
%J 现代图书情报技术
%D 2005
%I 
%X This study reviews and analyzes the research papers on digital library in China with CNKI.The statistics indicates that the time series of the data basically accords with "life cycle phenomenon",which can be fit by Verhulst equation.The authors introduce a fuzzy disturbance factor(FDF) and propose two new modified mathematical models named subsection model and filtering model for better fitting and forecasting.This work will advance the quantitative research methods in library fields.
%K Digital library Mathematic model Life cycle phenomenon Grey dynamic model Fuzzy Disturbance Factor(FDF)<br>数字图书馆
%K 数学模型
%K 生命周期现象
%K 灰色动态模型
%K 模糊扰动因子
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=B5EDD921F3D863E289B22F36E70174A7007B5F5E43D63598017D41BB67247657&cid=E46382710BF131B2&jid=24AADBCD0D5373C73F37F78D10E2F717&aid=9FE40D7CB7649655&yid=2DD7160C83D0ACED&vid=659D3B06EBF534A7&iid=59906B3B2830C2C5&sid=96C778EE049EE47D&eid=771469D9D58C34FF&journal_id=1003-3513&journal_name=现代图书情报技术&referenced_num=2&reference_num=13