%0 Journal Article
%T Foundation of Tourism Background-Trend-Line of 6 Major Tourism-Source-Markets of China<br>我国6大境外客源市场旅游本底趋势线的建立
%A SUN Gen-nian
%A <br>孙根年
%J 系统工程理论与实践
%D 2000
%I 
%X The concept of tourism background trend line was put forward in this paper. Based on the statistics data of foreign tourists from 1984a to 1996a, 6 background trend lines were founded by optimization simulated method, which deal with Japan, America, Britain, Germany, Australia and France. As applications, the author forecasts the next 4 years' development trends of above 6 markets with the forecasting function of tourism background trend line.
%K 6大客源市场
%K 旅游本底趋势线
%K 趋势预测
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=01BA20E8BA813E1908F3698710BBFEFEE816345F465FEBA5&cid=962324E222C1AC1D&jid=1D057D9E7CAD6BEE9FA97306E08E48D3&aid=13DE49B6AC9CD756&yid=9806D0D4EAA9BED3&vid=A04140E723CB732E&iid=CA4FD0336C81A37A&sid=B0EBA60720995721&eid=475189FCB44F11F6&journal_id=1000-6788&journal_name=系统工程理论与实践&referenced_num=17&reference_num=3