%0 Journal Article
%T Forecast and analysis of oil production in China based on system dynamics<br>基于系统动力学的中国石油产量预测分析
%A TANG Xu
%A ZHANG Bao-sheng
%A DENG Hong-mei
%A FENG Lian-yong
%A <br>唐旭
%A 张宝生
%A 邓红梅
%A 冯连勇
%J 系统工程理论与实践
%D 2010
%I 
%X China's ultimate recoverable reserves which are the resource base affecting oil production are forecasted and analyzed;system dynamics model for oil production forecasting is built based on basic principles of system dynamics;and parameters of variables such as the oil recovery rate of remaining recoverable reserves in the model are determined.Forecast results show that the ultimate recoverable reserves of oil in China are between 123 and 143 million tons,and the average amount is 134 million tons. Furtherm...
%K ultimate recoverable reserves of oil
%K oil production
%K forecast
%K system dynamics<br>石油最终可采储量
%K 石油产量
%K 预测
%K 系统动力学
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=01BA20E8BA813E1908F3698710BBFEFEE816345F465FEBA5&cid=962324E222C1AC1D&jid=1D057D9E7CAD6BEE9FA97306E08E48D3&aid=30C511692F267D1B225EB15E9729A292&yid=140ECF96957D60B2&vid=340AC2BF8E7AB4FD&iid=0B39A22176CE99FB&sid=334E2BB8B9A55ABB&eid=D2742EEE6F4DF8FE&journal_id=1000-6788&journal_name=系统工程理论与实践&referenced_num=3&reference_num=17