%0 Journal Article
%T Study of a Forecasting Method for Dynamic Economic Systems<br>动态经济系统中的一种预测方法研究
%A Sun Chuqiao
%A Han Wenxiu
%A <br>孙楚乔
%A 韩文秀
%J 系统工程理论与实践
%D 1999
%I 
%X A forecasting method suitable for dynamic economic systems is studied in this paper. Considering the deficiencies of static causalitive forecasting models when they are used directly in dynamic forecasting, the paper presents a compensating model to give a dynamic compensation to these static models. Compensating model is used to find out the information about the dynamic development of economic systems from the data of systems themselves and their variables, and then derive the additive compensation value from the analysis of above information.
%K dynamic economic systems
%K forecasting method
%K effective value
%K approaching degree
%K DEA
%K production space<br>动态经济系统
%K 预测方法
%K 有效值
%K 贴近度
%K DEA
%K 生产空间
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=01BA20E8BA813E1908F3698710BBFEFEE816345F465FEBA5&cid=962324E222C1AC1D&jid=1D057D9E7CAD6BEE9FA97306E08E48D3&aid=BB611EF773E81C5802AC51B4CEBC9F43&yid=B914830F5B1D1078&vid=2A8D03AD8076A2E3&iid=0B39A22176CE99FB&sid=89F76E117E9BDB76&eid=6270DC1B5693DDAF&journal_id=1000-6788&journal_name=系统工程理论与实践&referenced_num=3&reference_num=0