%0 Journal Article
%T Expectational Uncertainty and Model Selection of Economic Systems<br>经济系统的预期不确定性与模型选择
%A WU Guo-fu
%A SUN Chuan-zhong
%A WEI Feng-rong
%A <br>吴国富
%A 孙传忠
%A 魏凤荣
%J 系统工程理论与实践
%D 1999
%I 
%X In this paper we discussed the expectation uncertainty of economic system and model choice for analysis of this uncertainty. A class of ARCH models were suggested. An example was given for the conclusion.
%K expectation uncertainty
%K ARCH model
%K model choice<br>预期不确定性
%K ARCH模型
%K 模型选择
%U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=01BA20E8BA813E1908F3698710BBFEFEE816345F465FEBA5&cid=962324E222C1AC1D&jid=1D057D9E7CAD6BEE9FA97306E08E48D3&aid=71EBBCFC18C8D281&yid=B914830F5B1D1078&vid=2A8D03AD8076A2E3&iid=59906B3B2830C2C5&sid=B6DA1AC076E37400&eid=987EDA49D8A7A635&journal_id=1000-6788&journal_name=系统工程理论与实践&referenced_num=0&reference_num=4