%0 Journal Article %T Influences of error distributions of net ecosystem exchange on parameter estimation of a process-based terrestrial model
NEE观测误差分布类型对陆地生态系统机理模型参数估计的影响——以长白山温带阔叶红松林为例 %A LUO Yiqi %A
张黎 %A 于贵瑞 %A LUO Yiqi %A 顾峰雪 %A 张雷明 %J 生态学报 %D 2008 %I %X Accuracy of model predictions can be improved by parameter estimation from measurements. It was assumed that measurement errors of net ecosystem exchange of CO2 (NEE) by the eddy covariance technique follow a normal distribution. However, recent studies have showed that errors in eddy covariance measurements closely follow a double exponential rather than a normal distribution. In this paper, we compared effects of different distributions of measurement errors of NEE data on estimation of parameters and carbon fluxes components. Daily NEE measurements from 2003 to 2005 at the Changbaishan forest site were assimilated into a process-based terrestrial ecosystem model. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method was used to derive the probability density functions of estimated parameters. Our results showed the modeled annual total gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (Re) using the normal error distribution were higher than those using the double exponential distribution by 61-86 g C m-2 a-1 and 107-116 g C m-2 a-1, respectively. As a result, modeled annual sum of NEE under an assumption of the normal error distribution was lower by 29-47 g C m-2 a-1 than that under the double exponential error distribution. Especially, the modeled daily NEE based on the normal distribution underestimated the strong carbon sink in Changbaishan forest during the growing seasons. We concluded that types of measurement error distributions and corresponding cost functions can substantially influence parameter estimation and estimated carbon fluxes with data assimilation. %K NEE %K ecosystem model %K parameter estimation %K error distribution %K Markov Chain Monte Carlo method
NEE %K 生态系统模型 %K 参数估计 %K 误差分布 %K 马尔可夫链-蒙特卡罗法 %U http://www.alljournals.cn/get_abstract_url.aspx?pcid=90BA3D13E7F3BC869AC96FB3DA594E3FE34FBF7B8BC0E591&jid=FE163E5DB2274E5937319DE98913EC37&aid=6BED09B13ED5C74CF1F6AEB0B6F57FF9&yid=67289AFF6305E306&vid=D3E34374A0D77D7F&iid=DF92D298D3FF1E6E&sid=EAEB02CD348FC8D1&eid=F5E918FB1DCFB1A1&journal_id=1000-0933&journal_name=生态学报&referenced_num=3&reference_num=33