%0 Journal Article %T Fire Probability, Fuel Treatment Effectiveness and Ecological Tradeoffs in Western U.S. Public Forests %A Jonathan J. Rhodes and William L. Baker %J The Open Forest Science Journal %D 2008 %I Bentham Open %R 10.2174/1874398600801010001] %X Fuel treatment effectiveness and non-treatment risks can be estimated from the probability of fire occurrence. Using extensive fire records for western US Forest Service lands, we estimate fuel treatments have a mean probability of 2.0-7.9% of encountering moderate- or high-severity fire during an assumed 20-year period of reduced fuels. %U http://www.benthamscience.com/open/tofscij/articles/V001/1TOFSCIJ.htm