%0 Journal Article %T A Revision of <i>AIC</i> for Normal Error Models %A Kunio Takezawa %J Open Journal of Statistics %P 309-312 %@ 2161-7198 %D 2012 %I Scientific Research Publishing %R 10.4236/ojs.2012.23038 %X Conventional Akaike¡¯s Information Criterion (AIC) for normal error models uses the maximum-likelihood estimator of error variance. Other estimators of error variance, however, can be employed for defining AIC for normal error models. The maximization of the log-likelihood using an adjustable error variance in light of future data yields a revised version of AIC for normal error models. It also gives a new estimator of error variance, which will be called the ¡°third variance¡±. If the model is described as a constant plus normal error, which is equivalent to fitting a normal distribution to one-dimensional data, the approximated value of the third variance is obtained by replacing (n-1) (n is the number of data) of the unbiased estimator of error variance with (n-4). The existence of the third variance is confirmed by a simple numerical simulation. %K < %K i> %K AIC< %K /i> %K < %K i> %K AIC< %K sub> %K c< %K /sub> %K < %K /i> %K Normal Error Models %K Third Variance %U http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=20651