%0 Journal Article
%T Validaci¨®n de un pron¨®stico de lluvia mensual en M¨¦xico
%A Gonz¨˘lez-Gonz¨˘lez
%A MA
%A Ramos-Gonz¨˘lez
%A JL
%A B¨˘ez-Gonz¨˘lez
%A AD
%J Universidad y ciencia
%D 2009
%I Universidad Ju¨˘rez Aut¨®noma de Tabasco
%X the categorical evaluation of the stochastic model for rainfall forecasting, at 31 locations in mexico, based on the enso phases, showed a rate of monthly hits of 0.63 during the year of the study. however, the hanssen-kuipers score that evaluates forecast models indicated a score of 0.499 for the year. it was considered a partly acceptable model as the validation of a larger number of forecasts is required to obtain a more accurate scoring.
%K validation
%K monthly rainfall forecast
%K hits
%K hanssen-kuipers score.
%U http://www.scielo.org.mx/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&pid=S0186-29792009000200009&lng=en&nrm=iso&tlng=en