%0 Journal Article
%T Epidemiological changes and financial consequences of hypertension in Latin America: implications for the health system and patients in Mexico
%A Arredondo
%A Armando
%A Zu£¿iga
%A Alexis
%J Cadernos de Sa¨²de P¨²blica
%D 2012
%I Escola Nacional de Sa¨²de P¨²blica, Funda??o Oswaldo Cruz
%R 10.1590/S0102-311X2012000300010
%X the aim of this study was to assess the costs and financial consequences of epidemiological changes in hypertension in m¨¦xico. the cost evaluation method to estimate costs was based on instrumentation techniques. to estimate the epidemiological changes and expected cases of hypertension in 2010-2012, three probabilistic models were constructed according to the box-jenkins technique. comparing the economic impact, from 2010 to 2012 there will be a 24% increase in financial requirements (p < 0.05). the total cost of hypertension in 2011 will be us$ 5,733,350,291, including us$ 2,718,280,941 in direct costs and us$ 3,015,069,350 in indirect costs. if the risk factors and various healthcare models remain unaltered in the institutions analyzed here, the financial consequences will have a major impact on users' pockets, followed by social security providers and public healthcare providers. the authors suggest a revision in the planning, organization, and allocation of resources, particularly programs for health promotion and prevention of hypertension.
%K financial management
%K costs and cost analysis
%K hypertension.
%U http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&pid=S0102-311X2012000300010&lng=en&nrm=iso&tlng=en