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Search Results: 1 - 10 of 563 matches for " Erhan Bayraktar "
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Minimizing the Lifetime Shortfall or Shortfall at Death
Erhan Bayraktar
Mathematics , 2007,
Abstract: We find the optimal investment strategy for an individual who seeks to minimize one of four objectives: (1) the probability that his wealth reaches a specified ruin level {\it before} death, (2) the probability that his wealth reaches that level {\it at} death, (3) the expectation of how low his wealth drops below a specified level {\it before} death, and (4) the expectation of how low his wealth drops below a specified level {\it at} death. Young (2004) showed that under criterion (1), the optimal investment strategy is a heavily leveraged position in the risky asset for low wealth. In this paper, we introduce the other three criteria in order to reduce the leveraging observed by Young (2004). We discovered that surprisingly the optimal investment strategy for criterion (3) is {\it identical} to the one for (1) and that the strategies for (2) and (4) are {\it more} leveraged than the one for (1) at low wealth. Because these criteria do not reduce leveraging, we completely remove it by considering problems (1) and (3) under the restriction that the individual cannot borrow to invest in the risky asset.
A Proof of the Smoothness of the Finite Time Horizon American Put Option for Jump Diffusions
Erhan Bayraktar
Mathematics , 2007,
Abstract: We give a new proof of the fact that the value function of the finite time horizon American put option for a jump diffusion, when the jumps are from a compound Poisson process, is the classical solution of a free boundary equation. We also show that the value function is $C^1$ across the optimal stopping boundary. Our proof, which only uses the classical theory of parabolic partial differential equations of [7,8], is an alternative to the proof that uses the the theory of vicosity solutions [14]. This new proof relies on constructing a monotonous sequence of functions, each of which is a value function of an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion, converging to the value function uniformly and exponentially fast. This sequence is constructed by iterating a functional operator that maps a certain class of convex functions to classical solutions of corresponding free boundary equations. On the other handsince the approximating sequence converges to the value function exponentially fast, it naturally leads to a good numerical scheme. We also show that the assumption that [14] makes on the parameters of the problem, in order to guarantee that the value function is the \emph{unique} classical solution of the corresponding free boundary equation, can be dropped.
On the Perpetual American Put Options for Level Dependent Volatility Models with Jumps
Erhan Bayraktar
Mathematics , 2007,
Abstract: We prove that the perpetual American put option price of level dependent volatility model with compound Poisson jumps is convex and is the classical solution of its associated quasi-variational inequality, that it is $C^2$ except at the stopping boundary and that it is $C^1$ everywhere (i.e. the smooth pasting condition always holds).
Pricing Options on Defaultable Stocks
Erhan Bayraktar
Computer Science , 2007,
Abstract: In this note, we develop stock option price approximations for a model which takes both the risk o default and the stochastic volatility into account. We also let the intensity of defaults be influenced by the volatility. We show that it might be possible to infer the risk neutral default intensity from the stock option prices. Our option price approximation has a rich implied volatility surface structure and fits the data implied volatility well. Our calibration exercise shows that an effective hazard rate from bonds issued by a company can be used to explain the implied volatility skew of the implied volatility of the option prices issued by the same company.
On the One-Dimensional Optimal Switching Problem
Erhan Bayraktar,Masahiko Egami
Mathematics , 2007,
Abstract: We explicitly solve the optimal switching problem for one-dimensional diffusions by directly employing the dynamic programming principle and the excessive characterization of the value function. The shape of the value function and the smooth fit principle then can be proved using the properties of concave functions.
An Analysis of Monotone Follower Problems for Diffusion Processes
Erhan Bayraktar,Masahiko Egami
Mathematics , 2007,
Abstract: We consider a singular stochastic control problem, which is called the Monotone Follower Stochastic Control Problem and give sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of a local-time type optimal control. To establish this result we use a methodology that has not been employed to solve singular control problems. We first confine ourselves to local time strategies. Then we apply a transformation to the total reward accrued by reflecting the diffusion at a given boundary and show that it is linear in its continuation region. Now, the problem of finding the optimal boundary becomes a non-linear optimization problem: The slope of the linear function and an obstacle function need to be simultaneously maximized. The necessary conditions of optimality come from first order derivative conditions. We show that under some weak assumptions these conditions become sufficient. We also show that the local time strategies are optimal in the class of all monotone increasing controls. As a byproduct of our analysis, we give sufficient conditions for the value function to be $\mathbf{C}^2$ on all its domain. We solve two dividend payment problems to show that our sufficient conditions are satisfied by the examples considered in the mainstream literature. We show that our assumptions are satisfied not only when capital of a company is modeled by a Brownian motion with drift but also when we change the modeling assumptions and use a square root process to model the capital.
Sequential Tracking of a Hidden Markov Chain Using Point Process Observations
Erhan Bayraktar,Mike Ludkovski
Mathematics , 2007,
Abstract: We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models under partially observable Poisson processes. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state variable using Bayesian updates over the discrete observations. Such a model has applications in economic policy making, staffing under variable demand levels and generalized Poisson disorder problems. We show regularity of the value function and explicitly characterize an optimal strategy. We also provide an efficient numerical scheme and illustrate our results with several computational examples.
Analysis of the optimal exercise boundary of American options for jump diffusions
Erhan Bayraktar,Hao Xing
Mathematics , 2007,
Abstract: In this paper we show that the optimal exercise boundary / free boundary of the American put option pricing problem for jump diffusions is continuously differentiable (except at the maturity). This differentiability result has been established by Yang et al. (European Journal of Applied Mathematics, 17(1):95-127, 2006) in the case where the condition $r\geq q+ \lambda \int_{\R_+} (e^z-1) \nu(dz)$ is satisfied. We extend the result to the case where the condition fails using a unified approach that treats both cases simultaneously. We also show that the boundary is infinitely differentiable under a regularity assumption on the jump distribution.
On the Stickiness Property
Erhan Bayraktar,Hasanjan Sayit
Mathematics , 2008,
Abstract: In [2] the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of stickiness further. In particular, we give examples of processes that are not semimartingales but are sticky.
No Arbitrage Conditions For Simple Trading Strategies
Erhan Bayraktar,Hasanjan Sayit
Mathematics , 2008,
Abstract: Strict local martingales may admit arbitrage opportunities with respect to the class of simple trading strategies. (Since there is no possibility of using doubling strategies in this framework, the losses are not assumed to be bounded from below.) We show that for a class of non-negative strict local martingales, the strong Markov property implies the no arbitrage property with respect to the class of simple trading strategies. This result can be seen as a generalization of a similar result on three dimensional Bessel process in [3]. We also pro- vide no arbitrage conditions for stochastic processes within the class of simple trading strategies with shortsale restriction.
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