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Forecasting Foreign Direct Investment to Zambia: A Time Series Analysis  [PDF]
Stanley Jere, Bornwell Kasense, Obvious Chilyabanyama
Open Journal of Statistics (OJS) , 2017, DOI: 10.4236/ojs.2017.71010
Abstract: Three methods are considered in this paper: Simple exponential smoothing (SES), Holt-Winters exponential smoothing (HWES) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). The best fit model was then used to forecast Zambia’s annual net foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows from 1970 to 2014. Foreign direct investment is foreign capital investment to Zambia. Throughout the paper the methods are illustrated using Zambia’s annual Net FDI inflows. A comparison of the three methods shows that the ARIMA (1, 1, 5) is the best fit model because it has the minimum error. Forecasting results give a gradual increase in annual net FDI inflows of about 44.36% by 2024. Forecasting results plays a vital role to policy makers. Decision making, coming up with good policies and suitable strategic plans, depends on accurate forecasts. Zambian FDI policy makers can use the results obtained in this study and create suitable strategic plans to promote FDI.
Forecasting Foreign Direct Investment in Jordan for the Years (2011 -2030)  [cached]
Salah T. Al-rawashdeh,Jaafar H. Nsour,Rafat S. Salameh
International Journal of Business and Management , 2011, DOI: 10.5539/ijbm.v6n10p138
Abstract: This study is aimed at forecasting foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow in Jordan for the years (2011-2030), using (ARIMA), models based on data covering the period (1981-2010), it was found that the time series for the variable (FDI) was not stationary in its levels during the time, and it suffers from a unit root, we have been working to make it stationary after identifying first order of difference which was used in (ARIMA) models .in this research ,We used the computer program (Minitab, 14 and Eviews, 3.1) for data analysis and forecasting. The study reached a set of results and found out that the expected total volume of (FDI) inflows will reached (29207.06) million Jordanian dinar (JD) by the year 2030, while the average (FDI) is equal to (1479.096) million (JD) with an average annual growth of 3.22%. The study recommends that there is a need to provide appropriate investment environment through providing necessary incentives and facilities to investors away from bureaucracy, the need to work on a comprehensive economic plan, especially in the aftermath of the global financial crisis that affect the world m the region including Jordan, to make a comprehensive review of all legislations governing (FDI).
Foreign direct investment in the Polish economy  [cached]
Tomasz Gutowski
Contemporary Economy , 2013,
Abstract: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plays an extraordinary and increasingly important role in global and local business. This type of investment gives the country a better position to prepare for rapidly changing economic conditions. Considering the external effects of FDI, it should be assumed that the most important one is coinvolvement in the development of a country in which they are located. In the Polish economy the value of foreign direct investment is very high and it is one of the most important causes of the economic growth.
Foreign Direct Investment: The Canadian Experience  [cached]
Nuno Carlos Leit?o
International Journal of Economics and Finance , 2010, DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v2n4p82
Abstract: The Canadian economy has been a net recipient of foreign direct investment (FDI). The free-trade agreements (FTA and NAFTA) have had to attract more inward FDI. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of variables, such as, market size, labour costs, openness trade, and economic stability. The manuscript applies a static and dynamic panel data approach (Fixed Effects estimator and GMM system estimator). The empirical results indicate that the market size, openness trade are significant factors to explain inward FDI into Canada. The wage and taxes are also statistically significant. Keywords: Foreign direct investment, panel data, Canada.
Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Iran  [PDF]
Seyed Mohammad Alavinasab
International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences , 2013,
Abstract: This study aims to identify the economic determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Iran for the period of 1991-2009. Simple econometric model and least squares technique have been used to determine the various economic factors that affect FDI inflows. Result found indicates the positive significant effects of real GDP growth, the proportion of imports to GDP, return on investment and infrastructure on FDI. While the effect of government consumption on FDI inflows has been found insignificant with unexpected positive sign.
Gheorghe S?VOIU,Suzana POPA
Revista Roman? de Statistic? , 2012,
Abstract: This paper analyzes some characteristics of economic and econometricliterature in the field of FDI after 1990, in Romania, as well as some specific issues in the process of practical modelling. A more detailed presentation of John Harry Dunning’s eclectic theory and a simple presentation of the theory of de-investment complete the general theoretical presentation of FDI. A first problem after the definition, life cycle, similarities and differences betweenportfolio and direct foreign investment, after the benefits of FDI, is given by the outstanding dynamics and structure of FDI. Some characteristic features of the value oscillation and structural dynamics of gross capital formation (GCF), gross capital fixed capital formation (GFCF) and gross domestic savings (GDS) in GDP are relevant for the specificity of the phenomenon of FDI in Romania after 1990.
Political Stability and Foreign Direct Investment  [cached]
Haksoon Kim
International Journal of Economics and Finance , 2010, DOI: 10.5539/ijef.v2n3p59
Abstract: The paper investigates the relationship among the foreign direct investment (FDI) and political stability by investigating the country-level FDI flows, FDI inward performance and political stability measures. Countries with high political rights have higher FDI outflows. Also, countries with high level of corruption of government and low level of democracy have higher FDI inflows. The results are consistent with the argument of that political factors are important in explaining FDI flows. We also find that FDI inward performance has consistently positive relationships with the level of corruption of government, while negative relationships with the political rights, when key variables from factor analysis are included.
Foreign Direct Investment and the Nigerian Economy
American Journal of Economics , 2012, DOI: 10.5923/j.economics.20120203.02
Abstract: Most economic rationale for granting special incentives for attracting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is based on the belief that FDI bridges the ‘idea gaps’ between rich and the poor nations in addition to the generation of technological transfers and spillovers. The study examines the applicability of FDI and the Impact they makes to the Nigerian economy hypothesis using empirical evidence from Nigeria were used. Empirical literature however finds controversial, the effects of FDI on productivity. In some literatures, it was revealed that multinational corporations are highly adaptive social agents and therefore, the degree to which they can help in improving economic activities through FDI will be heavily influenced by the policy choice of the host country. Data were collected for the period of more than 30 years. For analyzing the data both econometric and statistical method were applied. In order to evaluate the relationship between FDI and major economic indicators such as GDP, IIP and GFCF ordinary least square was used. The model revealed a positive relationship between FDI and those variables but FDI has not contribute much to the growth and development of the Nigerian economy and was evidence due to repatriation of profits, contract fees, and interest payment on foreign loans. The study therefore recommends human capacity building, infrastructural facilities and strategic policies to attract FDI inflow.
Foreign Direct Investment in Africa- Mali Attracts Foreign Investment
Dicko Mahamet
Journal of Applied Sciences , 2006,
Abstract: In general African countries have not been very successful in attracting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Some by their (abundant) natural resources and the size of their domestic market were able to attract multinational companies. We estimate FDIBC function which indicates that Mali has generated the interest of international investors by improving his business environment, suggesting that one country can become competitive internationally and attracts FDI on a sustainable basis.
A foreign direct investment: Characteristics, patterns, and effects  [PDF]
Antevski Miroslav
Medjunarodni Problemi , 2008, DOI: 10.2298/medjp0801061a
Abstract: The author researched the foreign direct investment flows, patterns and effects in conditions of regional economic integration in Europe. The foreign direct investment presence results in two effects: first, increase in competition, and second, creation of forward and backward linkages between domestic firms and foreign affiliates. The benefits of foreign direct investment for their host countries take the form of various types of externalities or spillovers (of technology, knowledge, productivity). The potential spillover benefits could be realized if domestic firms have the capacity to absorb foreign technologies and skills.
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