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Methods of Conflict Prediction and Conflict Probability Estimation for en Route Flight Методы прогнозирования и оценки вероятности конфликтов при полете самолетов на маршрутах МЕТОДИ ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ Й ОЦ НКИ ЙМОВ РНОСТ КОНФЛ КТ В ПРИ ПОЛЬОТ Л ТАК В НА МАРШРУТАХ  [cached]
В.М. Василь?в
Proceedings of National Aviation University , 2004,
Abstract: The probabilistic methods of conflict prediction and estimation of conflict situation are offered for en route flight. The mathematical statement of problem, the criterion of conflict detection, and randomized estimation procedure are presented. The analytical expressions for evaluation conflict probability are derived for estimation of air traffic safety in collision avoidance systems. Предложены вероятностные методы прогнозирования и оценки конфликтных ситуаций при полете самолетов на маршрутах. Раccмотрены критерий обнаружения конфликта и процедура вероятностно-имитационного метода его оценки. Приведенные аналитические выражения оценки вероятности конфликта могут быть использованы для оценки безопасности воздушного движения в системах предупреждения столкновений самолетов. Запропоновано ймов рн сн методи прогнозування й оц нки конфл ктних ситуац й при польот л так в на маршрутах. Розглянуто критер й виявлення конфл кту процедуру ймов рн сно- м тац йного методу його оц нки. Наведен анал тичн вирази оц нки ймов рност конфл кту можуть бути використан для оц нки безпеки пов тряного руху в системах попередження з ткнень л так в.
Analysis of Conflict Situations on Roundabouts in Vala ské Mezi í í
Vladislav K ivda
Transactions of the V?B - Technical University of Ostrava. Construction Series , 2010, DOI: 10.2478/v10160-010-0008-1
Abstract: The article describes briefly the methodology of video analysis of conflict situations and presents the results of the video analysis performed on roundabouts in Vala ské Mezi í í. This paper was prepared with financial support for research and development project No. CG911-008-910 "The influence of construction components on the safety and continuity of transport in roundabouts and possible prediction of traffic accident occurrences".
The Effects of Conflict Alerts on Air Traffic Controllers' Conflict Detection under Free Flight
自由飞行下冲突告警对管制员冲突探测绩效的影响

LI Qian,YANG Jia-Zhong,SHI Rong,
李倩
,杨家忠,石荣

心理科学进展 , 2012,
Abstract: Free flight is a proposal for future air traffic management.Previous studies showed that it would have negative effects on air traffic controllers’ conflict detection performance and proposed the introduction of conflict alerts as a solution.These studies focused on individual properties of conflict alerts such as modality,reliability,and look-ahead time,and found different effects of modality and reliability of conflict alerts on controllers’ performance compared to those found in traditional automation research.To clarify these differences and to provide effective guidance for the design of conflict alerts,future studies should investigate the effects of property-integrated conflict alerts on controllers’ performance and should include conflict resolution tasks in their experiments.
Situations in traffic - how quickly they change  [PDF]
M. J. Krawczyk,C. Beltran Ruiz,K. Kulakowski
Physics , 2010, DOI: 10.2478/s11534-011-0064-x
Abstract: Spatio-temporal correlations of intensity of traffic are analysed for one week data collected in the motorway M-30 around Madrid in January 2009. We found that the lifetime of these correlations is the shortest in the evening, between 6 and 8 p.m. This lifetime is a new indicator how much attention of drivers is demanded in given traffic conditions.
THE RESEARCH OF THE AGGRESSIVE REACTIONS AND STRATEGIES OF BEHAVIOUR IN CONFLICT SITUATIONS OF STUDENTS
Churina Elena Sergeevna
Magister Dixit , 2011,
Abstract: We analyse conflicts as a personality character trait which is of great importance in the situations of pedagogical conflicts prevention and conflict resolution as a personal characteristic. There are the results of the research of temperament, aggressive reactions and strategies of behaviour in a conflict situation of the first year students of the speciality “Foreign language with additional speciality” at the situation of pedagogical conflict.
A Complexity Indicator for 4D Flight Trajectories Based on Conflict Probability  [PDF]
Xiongwen Qian,Jianfeng Mao
Mathematics , 2014,
Abstract: In this paper, a complexity indicator for 4D flight trajectories is developed based on conflict probability. A 4D trajectory is modeled as piecewise linear segments connected by waypoints. The position of each aircraft is modeled as a 2D Gaussian random variable and an approximation of the conflict probability between two aircraft is deduced analytically over each segment. Based on such conflict probability, a complexity indicator is constructed for the whole trajectory. Numerical examples show that the proposed complexity indicator is able to reflect the complexity of 4D trajectories perceived by air traffic controllers.
Combined conflict resolution strategy to intersecting traffic flows
针对交叉流的组合冲突解脱策略

ZHANG Chen,HU Ming-hua,ZHANG Jin,
张晨
,胡明华,张进

系统工程理论与实践 , 2011,
Abstract: Conflicts induced by high-density air traffic at the intersection of route network are the main factor of the controller workload,and the reasonable conflict resolution strategy could reduce the demand for the protection airspace.Considering operational feasibility and effectiveness,a combined conflict resolution strategy was proposed with 2 stage heading-change maneuvers after analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of the off-set strategy directed towards the 2 directional intersecting flows.The combin...
Traffic Conflict Techniques in the Czech Republic
Josef Kocourek
Transactions on Transport Sciences , 2010, DOI: 10.2478/V10158-010-0017-X
Abstract: This article deals mainly with defining a way of monitoring traffic conflicts. This issue is only one part of a greater safety analysis, or risk determination process for a particular location. Based on the described procedures it is possible to apply the methodology also to more complicated nodes, such as level crossings, sections of towns, residential areas, or rural areas. After the survey and the collection of a necessary amount of transport and engineering data, the determination of a relative number for the "almost-accident rate" (number of calculated vehicles for a selected time period and the number of traffic conflicts - so-called almost-accidents) may be calculated.
Transient situations in traffic flow: Modelling the Mexico City Cuernavaca Highway  [PDF]
J. A. del Rio,M. E. Larraga
Physics , 2005, DOI: 10.1063/1.1900500
Abstract: In this paper a recent variable anticipation cellular automata model for single-lane traffic flow is extended to analyze the situation of free and congested flow in the Highway from Mexico City to Cuernavaca. This highway presents free flow in standard days; but in the returning day of long weekends or holidays it exhibits congested flow and in rush hours jamming appears. We illustrate how our CA model for traffic flow can deal appropriately with transient situations and can be used to search new alternatives that allow to improve the traffic flow in Mexican highways.
RESEARCH: Children in Armed Conflict Situations: Focus on Child Soldiers in the Philippines
Elizabeth Protacio De Castro
Kasarinlan : Philippine Journal of Third World Studies , 2001,
Abstract: In the last 30 years of internal armed conflict in the Philippines, children have become both victim and perpetrator of violence. Children, boys and girls not even eighteen years of age, bear arms for the New People's Army (NPA), the Moro National Uberation Front (MNLF), the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) and the Abu Sayyaf. Children old enough to cany and use M-16 and AK-47 rifles are volunteered, coerced and even manipulated into armed groups. Young and impressionable, child soldiers can become the fiercest fighters through indoctrination. According to the author, there are several reasons why children end up fighting alongside adults. These children may have been victims of physical or sexual abuse or witnesses to the death of a loved one in the hands of government forces. Some factors are more complex. There may be experiences of neglect and abuse, weak family ties and negative experiences in school, or a combination of all the above.Poverty, social injustice, and limited or no access to basic services are contributing factors to the creation of the child soldier. Being exposed to armed conflict situations, children are exposed not only to grave I and serious physical danger but also to psychological trauma resulting from capture, torture and rape, and detention. Having experiences also result in child soldiers living with shame and guilt and reacting with apathy and numbness for the rest of their lives. They are faced with extremely polarized moral dilemmas such as self-preservation and killing another human being for the glory of God, freedom and the oppressed people. Should they be taken out of armed conflict situations, child soldiers find difficulty in re-joining their communities or having normal lives. Often they return to their comrades in the battlefields.
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